No, you have not stumbled onto the wrong blog. Last night we had dinner with 2 other couples. On the drive to the restaurant we were discussing the financial collapse. One friend, a successful businessman, recommended this article. I had heard of Liar’s Poker, and actually had heard of this article. Having just read it, I highly recommend it for anyone who wants to understand.
Then came Meredith Whitney with news. Whitney was an obscure analyst of financial firms for Oppenheimer Securities who, on October 31, 2007, ceased to be obscure. On that day, she predicted that Citigroup had so mismanaged its affairs that it would need to slash its dividend or go bust. It’s never entirely clear on any given day what causes what in the stock market, but it was pretty obvious that on October 31, Meredith Whitney caused the market in financial stocks to crash. By the end of the trading day, a woman whom basically no one had ever heard of had shaved $369 billion off the value of financial firms in the market. Four days later, Citigroup’s C.E.O., Chuck Prince, resigned. In January, Citigroup slashed its dividend.
From that moment, Whitney became E.F. Hutton: When she spoke, people listened. Her message was clear. If you want to know what these Wall Street firms are really worth, take a hard look at the crappy assets they bought with huge sums of borrowed money, and imagine what they’d fetch in a fire sale. The vast assemblages of highly paid people inside the firms were essentially worth nothing. For better than a year now, Whitney has responded to the claims by bankers and brokers that they had put their problems behind them with this write-down or that capital raise with a claim of her own: You’re wrong. You’re still not facing up to how badly you have mismanaged your business.
Fascinating and scary reading.
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{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }
If we take a clear look at the american medical system, the same thing happens : hospitals build fancy buildings, offices hire dozens of paper pushers and cost gets inflated by using the third party payer system with billions lost in the billing process. There is a artificial increase in cost of about 25-30%. Then, there comes “modern technology” with endless sleep labs charging 3000 $ for a sleep test (done, very often just for documentation and payment purpose), fancy pacemakers for 90 years old with Alzheimer, pain centers doing useless epidurals and so on…
The bubble will burst in medicine the same way it did on Wall Street. I don’t know when, but it will.
I can see a patient in a 20 minutes visit for 40$ and I can do complete bloodwork for another 20$. Because of the system, it actually costs me 70$ to see a patient and the lab will charge the patient about 100$ for the same test.
I posted that on my blog last week. Fascinating, isn’t it? So many idiots all the way up the food chain. They all trusted people that history has shown for decades can’t pay their bills.
What did they think would happen?
I read this article last month and was blown away.
Then I told a friend about it, who reminded me that Eisman’s daughter plays in our kid’s softball league last year. All my friend knew about him before this article came out was that he was in finance and seemed like a regular guy. And whenever he and Eisman were standing around watching the game from the sidelines, and he’d ask Eisman how Wall Street was doing, Eisman would shake his head and say it was all going to come down.
Guess he was right.