Flu vaccine – some common sense

26 Oct
2004

Flu reality check

Sometimes the best way to increase demand is to decrease supply. Millions of Americans who yearly eschew the flu vaccine are now demanding it. Irony reeks from this “crisis”.

This article explains that healthy adults may be at risk to develop the flu, and they will get sick but do fine. Even taking a flu vaccine does not guarantee protection, it only decreases the probability that you will get the flu.

This is not a public health crisis, the Democrats hysteria aside. A series of unfortunate circumstances lead to a shortage of vaccine. And some patients who deserve the vaccine may not receive it.

But read the article for a dose of commonsense.

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14 Responses to Flu vaccine – some common sense

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phil morris

October 26th, 2004 at 3:23 pm

What reeks is the idea that the FDA does not protect Americans from the “suboptimal standards in Canadian medicine and manufacturing” and ban Americans from coming to Canada to get “dirty” flu shots. Our drugs are bad, and so is our flu shots.

Please George, Save Americans and ban Canadian Flu shot imports.

Laughing Out Loud,
Only in America I say.

Avatar

qetzal

October 26th, 2004 at 6:45 pm

Phil, I think the claimed safety “issue” of importing drugs from Canada to US is not whether Canadian drugs are inherently unsafe.

The argument is that there’s inadequate assurance that the drugs being imported are really from Canada, have been handled & stored properly, etc.

It’s still a lousy reason to oppose (re-)importation, but it’s not quite as ridiculous as claiming that Canadian drugs are unsafe per se.

Avatar

Aaron

October 26th, 2004 at 7:40 pm

qetzal, as probably all of the doctors here are aware, certain drugs are traded through a bizarre network right here in the United States, where opportunists take advantage of shortages to reap quick profits. And it has been pretty well-documented that they don’t much care if the drug they are handling is supposed to be refrigerated – they’re interested in profit, and patient health isn’t their problem. So if that truly is the rationale for keeping Canadian drugs out of the country – even those where a clear trail could be provided showing a legitimate source and proper storage – it’s just so much bovine excrement.

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Evan

October 26th, 2004 at 9:03 pm

I’m going to have to strongly disagree that inadequate preventive efforts against the flu are “no crisis.”

There are several issues and you only address one of them.

First, the flu kills nearly as many people annually as automobiles and firearms (or people wielding firearms anyway) do. In the current prevention paradigm, we only vaccinate high-risk individuals and therefore the rest of the population provides an adequate reservoir for routine transmission to take place. It’s true that there is substantial antigenic drift and that the vaccine is not perfect, but there is still a chance you can die in a car accident while belted. I hope that if automobile manufacturers suddenly stopped making cars with seat belts, it would be a “big deal” to you.

If the CDC and local health departments put their weight behind flu vaccines like the military does (annual flu shots are mandatory for active duty personnel, I wonder why) and if the vaccinated portion of the public was closer to 80-90% then the virus would have a much lower likelihood of spreading from an index case and the actual burden of suffering would be substantially decreased. To argue otherwise seems at best question-begging to me.

Beyond that, your statements are all based on the idea that the only threat from influenza is annual epidemics, but this ignores the evidence from the 1918 flu pandemic, which killed at least 20 million people worldwide.

To argue that a disease that has the potential to wipe out 20 million people in one season is not a “crisis”, and that a government that casually brushes off known threats of this magnitude while focusing on eradicated diseases like smallpox and screening mother’s breast milk before they get on an airplane is laughable.

Tell someone (there are many still alive today) who lost most of their family to influenza in 1918 that there is no “crisis” when the government’s contingency plans to manage a predictable annual event are slipshod.

What sort of confidence are we to have in our ability to handle bioterrorism if we can’t handle influenza?

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RGL

October 26th, 2004 at 11:08 pm

I respect Evan’s arguments, but I think he is trying to exaggerate the threat. Invoking the 1918 epidemic when conditions then were so different will just produce more hysteria, which we don’t want to happen.

But that is not to say we should minimize the potential harm of influenza, particularly on children and the elderly. Which is one reason why current supplies should be given to those more vulnerable.

A national policy to avert a similar future shortage of vaccines would be to give drug companies immunity from lawsuits, and make it a little more profitable to those willing to engage in this risky enterprise. There are currently two companies here making the flu vaccine, with about 50% coming from the Chiron company in England where it got contaminated.

In short, we need to stay calm, vaccinate those who need it most – and just as important – stop politicizing
this as an election issue.

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chris

October 27th, 2004 at 1:20 am

Money is what the shortage comes down to. Why would a company produce these vaccines when the past 5 years have shown net economic loss? I think Wyeth alone has lost $50M in discarded flu vaccines since 2000.

I understand that price controls were imposed to make the vaccine affordable to anyone who needs it. However, the government cannot expect pharmaceutical companies to shoulder the burden of this “benevolence”. To prevent similar shortages in the future, perhaps the government should institute a buyback policy – where vaccine-producing companies would be reimbursed for losses. Or, the government could remove price controls and allow free markets to work.

On the sidenote, isn’t it interesting how you couldn’t pay people to take the vaccine last year, but this year its become a greater issue this winter than oil prices?

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swift

October 27th, 2004 at 3:32 am

I agree that the flu vaccine shortfall doesn’t merit being described as a crisis. But why blame Democrats for correctly pointing out shortcomings in the vaccine supply chain? The Bush Administration claims to be flawless in its responses to, preparation for, and prevention of threats to homeland security (or at least admits no mistakes). Should the government’s utter failure to guarantee a reliable supply of vaccine for a predictable need like influenza instill confidence in their bioterror preparedness? Why does the administration deserve a free pass?

Regarding the 1918 comparison, the fact is that the timing of the emergence of the next pandemic strain of influenza cannot be predicted. But one thing is for certain: a pandemic virus will circle the globe a lot faster now via trans-oceanic air travel than it did in 1918. Despite the fact that the vaccine only ever offers partial protection, that partial protection could be quite valuable in the context of a pandemic.

On the bright side, I’m hopeful that all of this attention for influenza vaccination will lead to an annual program of vaccination for all school-aged children. That is perhaps the best solution for achieving disease control on an annual basis and would guarantee a reliable stream of annual volume sales.

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qetzal

October 27th, 2004 at 9:35 am

Aaron,

I agree that the safe handling argument is mostly specious. I wasn’t trying to defend it at all.

I was just pointing out to Phil that people who argue against re-importation from Canada aren’t really arguing that legitimate Canadian drugs are unsafe per se. They’re arguing that there’s insufficient oversight to assure proper sourcing, handling, etc.

Again, it’s a dumb argument, but if one wants to refute a dumb argument, it helps to know what the argument really is.

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machi

October 27th, 2004 at 11:29 am

I agree with Evan and with (half of) Swift. Flu and flu vaccine issues are a time- and resource-absorbing public health issue. As a public health epidemiologist, I know we would certainly be remiss (not to mention stupid) to ignore the potential for disaster (not to mention the 36000 annual deaths).
Most of the ‘hysteria’ around the vaccine shortage, however, can be traced to media hype. On the ground, people and providers are being very calm and rational in my state.
Commentators are right to push the lessons to be learned here: the situation brings to light major flaws in our system that are too often ignored, just as public health is too often ignored and underfunded precisely when it is doing its job.

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swift

October 27th, 2004 at 5:39 pm

A public health epidemiologist? Glad to know you, brother.

With which half of my comment did you disagree? Vaccinating kids? That idea is not my own…

BEFORE SHORTAGE OF FLU VACCINE, MANY WARNINGS
The New York Times
Sunday, October 17, 2004

Dr. Robert B. Belshe, director of the center for vaccine development at Saint Louis University, said many experts in infectious diseases and vaccination believe that ultimately, the only way to control influenza will be to vaccinate nearly all school-age children every year.

If the medical profession does make that recommendation, and the public follows it, there will be a greater need than ever for vaccines — and possibly a more stable market to tempt manufacturers.

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machi

October 27th, 2004 at 10:30 pm

Swift
The flu vaccine shortage IS a crisis – of our market based system for essential pharmaceuticals.

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arf

October 27th, 2004 at 11:12 pm

The received wisdom is supposed to be that Canadian drug inspection programs are as stringent as US standards.

I would agree, if I were dealing with a brick-and-mortar pharmacy on a street in a Canadian city, selling drugs to Canadians or anyone else who walked in the door.

I am not sure that the Canadian inspection regimen applies to businesses in Canada that act as conduits, shipping all their product back to the USA.

http://www.fda.gov/fdac/features/2002/502_import.html

“……if a Canadian company is selling drugs only for export to the United States, and not to Canadian citizens, Health Canada may not regulate the drugs or the company at all. Drugs coming to the United States from Canada may be coming from some other country and simply passing through Canada……..”

How accurate this is, I don’t know. It’s from the FDA site. As the pharmaceutical firms are putting the screws to the Canadians, limiting their imports to reflect Canadian domestic needs, and no more, or enforcing reimportation agreements, the Canadian pharmacies are going to other countries to get product to sell to the USA.

They have used the usual Commonwealth countries, Australia, New Zealand, etc., where that Lipitor pill gets more flyer miles than I have. But they are starting to go further afield for product, Pakistan, etc. Maybe I’m a bigot, but my personal tolerance of this starts to erode as the shipping labels move out of the English language and out of the Roman alphabet.

So…….caveat emptor, as usual.

As the re-importation movement gets bigger and bigger, I am starting to feel LESS secure about the whole thing.

And, speaking of Canadian pharmacies, make sure you really are dealing with a “Canadian” pharmacy in the first place. I’ve already stopped a couple of elderly patients who brought in literature on “Canadian” pharmacies, where close inspection showed they clearly were not Canadian. Anyone can set up a 800-number or a “.ca” Web site and work out of a boiler room in Jakarta. Usually, one of the tactics they use is to get the doc to sign on, accept delivery of the medicine on behalf of the patient……in other words, find ways to make the doctor a liability target.

What a surprise.

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Beth

November 1st, 2004 at 8:13 am

Machi – Which part of the failure do you consider “marked-based enterprise”? Price controls or excessive medical liability?

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Jocelyn Gallant

August 19th, 2009 at 9:22 pm

We need to preventing flu vaccines shortages in the future.

The flu vaccines should be manufactures in the United States to protect our citizens. Sure the flu vaccines is manufacture in Liverpool, England it produce very little flu vaccines especially with the swine flu is H1N! outbreak every should be vaccines against the H1N1.

The CDC should push harder that includes Home Land Security to push the Magnifications to speed up the process of flu vaccines that will nucleate every populations against the swine flu 2009-2019 flu seasons.

Salem, New Hampshire

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